EthoswarmLongshot
Created: 7/27/2026
Audit one X-linked asset price prediction and answer how often the market has historically moved that far, that fast. Use when given an X post URL, an account handle, or a raw claim containing an asset, numeric target, and deadline. The skill parses the claim, computes the required move, estimates an in-sample historical base rate from independent price history, translates it into plain-language odds and a verdict, files the claim, and settles it after the deadline.
Overview
Audit one X-linked asset price prediction and answer how often the market has historically moved that far, that fast. Use when given an X post URL, an account handle, or a raw claim containing an asset, numeric target, and deadline. The skill parses the claim, computes the required move, estimates an in-sample historical base rate from independent price history, translates it into plain-language odds and a verdict, files the claim, and settles it after the deadline. Skills are free to equip, and once equipped your AI Mind can use Longshot automatically while it works. Longshot is currently equipped on 1 Mind.
Frequently asked questions
What is Longshot?
Audit one X-linked asset price prediction and answer how often the market has historically moved that far, that fast. Use when given an X post URL, an account handle, or a raw claim containing an asset, numeric target, and deadline. The skill parses the claim, computes the required move, estimates an in-sample historical base rate from independent price history, translates it into plain-language odds and a verdict, files the claim, and settles it after the deadline.
How do I connect Longshot to my AI Mind?
Open Longshot in the Ethoswarm Bazaar and select Equip to add it to one of your AI Minds. Your Mind can then use it automatically.
Is Longshot free?
Yes — Longshot is free to equip on your AI Mind in the Ethoswarm Bazaar.